Thursday, August 29, 2019

AUGUST 29TH, 11:00 AM UPDATE: Dorian Expected To Become Major Hurricane






ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — Hurricane Dorian is expected to strengthen into a major hurricane during the next couple of days.

At 11 a.m. Thursday, Dorian is slightly stronger, pressure down to 986 mb and max winds of 85 mph. It is expected to strengthen as it tracks to the northwest.

Dorian may reach category 4 strength as it nears Florida's east coast.

As of right now, there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


Overnight, a dry slot was noted penetrating into the southeastern portion of the circulation, with the eye becoming cloud- and rain-filled.  

The shear is expected to diminish during the next 12 to 24 hours and with lower shear and very warm waters, Dorian is forecast to strengthen and become a major hurricane on Friday.

Dorian is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph and this general motion is expected to continue through Friday.  A west-northwestward motion is forecast to begin Friday night and continue into the weekend.

The computer models are not in agreement on landfall in Florida. 


The American GFS model shows a weaker ridge and brings Dorian close to the Florida/Georgia border, while the European and other models show stronger ridges and remain the southernmost solutions near South Florida.

The most notable change in the new forecast is that it's a little bit slower than the previous one as Dorian approaches Florida.

Gov. Ron DeSantis issued a state of emergency for counties in the path of the storm.

"All Floridians need to really monitor Hurricane Dorian and make necessary preparations," the governor said Thursday. "This is a track that has a significant amount of uncertainy. The key is to have a plan and make those preparations right now."

A state of emergency also protects people from price gouging, like at the gas pumps. Here's what you need to know and how to file a complaint with Attorney General Ashley Moody if you get ripped off. 


Hurricane Dorian

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM INFORMATION

LOCATION...21.4N 67.2W

ABOUT 220 MILES NNW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO

ABOUT 370 MILES ESE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW AT 13 MPH

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
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